Preseason Rankings
Eastern Kentucky
Ohio Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#273
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.9#157
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#290
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.0 11.0 n/a
.500 or above 19.7% 38.7% 14.0%
.500 or above in Conference 36.0% 50.0% 31.7%
Conference Champion 2.4% 4.4% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 13.5% 6.5% 15.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 23.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.50.1 - 3.6
Quad 20.5 - 3.00.6 - 6.6
Quad 32.0 - 5.52.6 - 12.1
Quad 48.3 - 6.110.8 - 18.2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 99   Marshall L 76-87 23%    
  Nov 10, 2018 314   @ Chattanooga W 70-67 50%    
  Nov 16, 2018 14   Kansas St. L 59-80 3%    
  Nov 17, 2018 116   Northern Iowa L 61-70 20%    
  Nov 19, 2018 338   Kennesaw St. W 75-69 71%    
  Nov 28, 2018 9   @ Tennessee L 60-82 1%    
  Dec 01, 2018 255   @ High Point L 69-70 37%    
  Dec 05, 2018 334   South Carolina Upstate W 81-75 78%    
  Dec 08, 2018 128   Northern Kentucky L 69-78 32%    
  Dec 15, 2018 44   @ Xavier L 69-85 5%    
  Dec 22, 2018 182   @ Duquesne L 69-74 25%    
  Jan 03, 2019 188   @ Austin Peay L 72-77 26%    
  Jan 05, 2019 151   @ Murray St. L 68-75 20%    
  Jan 10, 2019 259   @ Tennessee St. L 66-67 38%    
  Jan 12, 2019 109   @ Belmont L 68-78 15%    
  Jan 17, 2019 285   Tennessee Martin W 70-69 61%    
  Jan 19, 2019 308   Southeast Missouri St. W 77-74 68%    
  Jan 24, 2019 146   Jacksonville St. L 66-73 37%    
  Jan 26, 2019 287   Tennessee Tech W 73-72 62%    
  Jan 31, 2019 298   @ Eastern Illinois W 69-67 45%    
  Feb 02, 2019 320   @ SIU Edwardsville W 76-72 53%    
  Feb 07, 2019 109   Belmont L 68-78 28%    
  Feb 09, 2019 259   Tennessee St. L 66-67 58%    
  Feb 14, 2019 224   @ Morehead St. L 72-74 33%    
  Feb 16, 2019 151   Murray St. L 68-75 36%    
  Feb 21, 2019 287   @ Tennessee Tech W 73-72 43%    
  Feb 23, 2019 146   @ Jacksonville St. L 66-73 20%    
  Feb 28, 2019 188   Austin Peay L 72-77 44%    
  Mar 02, 2019 224   Morehead St. L 72-74 52%    
Projected Record 10.8 - 18.2 7.4 - 10.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 7.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.4 1.7 0.2 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.8 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.2 1.2 2.9 3.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 10.7 11th
12th 0.3 1.6 2.2 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.9 12th
Total 0.3 1.8 3.5 5.7 8.0 10.3 11.4 11.4 11.7 10.3 8.4 6.5 4.3 3.2 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 90.1% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 79.3% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 38.8% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1
13-5 15.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.1
16-2 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5%
15-3 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 1.0 0.0%
14-4 1.8% 1.8
13-5 3.2% 3.2
12-6 4.3% 4.3
11-7 6.5% 6.5
10-8 8.4% 8.4
9-9 10.3% 10.3
8-10 11.7% 11.7
7-11 11.4% 11.4
6-12 11.4% 11.4
5-13 10.3% 10.3
4-14 8.0% 8.0
3-15 5.7% 5.7
2-16 3.5% 3.5
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%